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North Carolina 9 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Richard Hudson has a 98% chance of winning North Carolina 9.

CandidatePartyWin %

Richard Hudson

INCUMBENT

98%

Nigel Bristow

2%

Chance of winning North Carolina 9 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Carolina 9

Cook PVI

R+9.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Richard Hudson

Cash on hand

$1,845,769

Raised

$872,226

Spent

$2,174,958

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Nigel Bristow

Cash on hand

$1,660

Raised

$1,660

Spent

$4,400

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 North Carolina House 09Vote %Total Votes

Richard Hudson

56.50%

131,453

Ben Clark

43.50%

101,202

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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