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Ohio 4 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jim Jordan has a >99% chance of winning Ohio 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jim Jordan

INCUMBENT

>99%

Tamara Wilson

<1%

Chance of winning Ohio 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Ohio 4

Cook PVI

R+20.5

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Jim Jordan

Cash on hand

$9,964,662

Raised

$7,889,772

Spent

$6,382,260

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Tamara Wilson

Cash on hand

$70,696

Raised

$506,520

Spent

$521,167

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Ohio 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Ohio House 04Vote %Total Votes

Jim Jordan

69.19%

200,773

Tamie Wilson

30.81%

89,383

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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