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Ohio 9 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Marcy Kaptur has a 73% chance of winning Ohio 9.

CandidatePartyWin %

Marcy Kaptur

INCUMBENT

73%

Derek Merrin

27%

Chance of winning Ohio 9 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Ohio 9

Cook PVI

R+3.2

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Marcy Kaptur

Cash on hand

$1,893,847

Raised

$1,165,154

Spent

$492,709

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Derek Merrin

Cash on hand

$88,166

Raised

$117,089

Spent

$168,400

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Ohio 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Ohio House 09Vote %Total Votes

Marcy Kaptur

56.63%

150,655

J.R. Majewski

43.37%

115,362

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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