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Oklahoma 1 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Kevin Hern has a >99% chance of winning Oklahoma 1.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kevin Hern

INCUMBENT

>99%

Dennis Baker

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Oklahoma 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Oklahoma 1

Cook PVI

R+13.9

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kevin Hern

Cash on hand

$1,058,511

Raised

$682,161

Spent

$2,126,051

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Dennis Baker

Cash on hand

$174,530

Raised

$326,686

Spent

$151,265

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Oklahoma 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Oklahoma House 01Vote %Total Votes

Kevin Hern

61.16%

142,800

Adam Martin

34.68%

80,974

Evelyn L. Rogers

4.16%

9,721

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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