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Oklahoma 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Stephanie Bice has a 99% chance of winning Oklahoma 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Stephanie Bice

INCUMBENT

99%

Madison Horn

1%

Chance of winning Oklahoma 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Oklahoma 5

Cook PVI

R+12.4

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Stephanie Bice

Cash on hand

$1,238,147

Raised

$691,511

Spent

$788,711

Date

May 29, 2024

Candidate

Madison Horn

Cash on hand

$52,543

Raised

$254,215

Spent

$225,502

Date

May 29, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Oklahoma 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Oklahoma House 05Vote %Total Votes

Stephanie Bice

59.00%

152,699

Joshua Harris-Till

37.40%

96,799

David K. Frosch

3.60%

9,328

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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