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Oregon 4 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Val Hoyle has a 91% chance of winning Oregon 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Val Hoyle

INCUMBENT

91%

Monique DeSpain

9%

Chance of winning Oregon 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Oregon 4

Cook PVI

D+4.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Val Hoyle

Cash on hand

$619,334

Raised

$655,382

Spent

$704,295

Date

May 1, 2024

Candidate

Monique DeSpain

Cash on hand

$69,349

Raised

$229,839

Spent

$203,489

Date

May 1, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Oregon 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Oregon House 04Vote %Total Votes

Val Hoyle

50.61%

171,372

Alek Skarlatos

43.14%

146,055

Levi C. Leatherberry

2.67%

9,052

Jim Howard

1.79%

6,075

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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