Oregon 5 House Forecast tossup

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Lori Chavez-Deremer has a 58% chance of winning Oregon 5.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Lori Chavez-Deremer INCUMBENT		58%
Janelle Bynum		42%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Oregon 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Oregon 5

Cook PVI

D+1.8

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Lori Chavez-Deremer	$613,570	$2,627,259	$5,094,033	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Janelle Bynum	$512,623	$5,750,515	$5,924,153	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Lori Chavez-Deremer

Cash on hand

$613,570

Raised

$2,627,259

Spent

$5,094,033

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Janelle Bynum

Cash on hand

$512,623

Raised

$5,750,515

Spent

$5,924,153

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Oregon 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.