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Oregon 6 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Andrea Salinas has a 93% chance of winning Oregon 6.

CandidatePartyWin %

Andrea Salinas

INCUMBENT

93%

Mike Erickson

7%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Oregon 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Oregon 6

Cook PVI

D+4.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Andrea Salinas

Cash on hand

$1,300,538

Raised

$3,470,577

Spent

$3,713,516

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Mike Erickson

Cash on hand

$124,632

Raised

$421,990

Spent

$423,520

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Oregon 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Oregon House 06Vote %Total Votes

Andrea Salinas

50.08%

147,156

Mike Erickson

47.62%

139,946

Larry D. McFarland

2.30%

6,762

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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