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Oregon 6 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Andrea Salinas has a 93% chance of winning Oregon 6.

CandidatePartyWin %

Andrea Salinas

INCUMBENT

93%

Mike Erickson

7%

Chance of winning Oregon 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Oregon 6

Cook PVI

D+4.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Andrea Salinas

Cash on hand

$1,699,677

Raised

$1,700,854

Spent

$863,432

Date

May 1, 2024

Candidate

Mike Erickson

Cash on hand

$101,190

Raised

$137,361

Spent

$43,312

Date

May 1, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Oregon 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Oregon House 06Vote %Total Votes

Andrea Salinas

50.08%

147,156

Mike Erickson

47.62%

139,946

Larry D. McFarland

2.30%

6,762

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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