| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Brian Fitzpatrick INCUMBENT | 85% | |
Ashley Ehasz | 15% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Pennsylvania 1 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Pennsylvania 1
Cook PVI
R+0.1
Last Winner
Republican
4 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 – 11 | 400 LV | Upswing Research & S... | 50.0%Fitzpatrick 45.0%Ehasz | +5 Fitzpatrick |
| Sep 8 – 10 | 400 RV | Public Opinion Strat... | 54.0%Fitzpatrick 40.0%Ehasz | +14 Fitzpatrick |
| Jun 13 – 17 | 400 LV | Upswing Research & S... | 47.0%Fitzpatrick 45.0%Ehasz | +2 Fitzpatrick |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brian Fitzpatrick | $4,504,016 | $2,212,670 | $3,144,217 | October 16, 2024 | |
Ashley Ehasz | $427,557 | $3,363,104 | $3,222,716 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$4,504,016
Raised
$2,212,670
Spent
$3,144,217
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$427,557
Raised
$3,363,104
Spent
$3,222,716
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Pennsylvania 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Pennsylvania House 01 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Brian Fitzpatrick | 54.87% | 201,571 |
Ashley Ehasz | 45.13% | 165,809 |
2022 Pennsylvania House 01
Brian Fitzpatrick
Vote %
54.87%
Total Votes
201,571
2022 Pennsylvania House 01
Ashley Ehasz
Vote %
45.13%
Total Votes
165,809
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
