| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Mike Kelly INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Preston Nouri | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Pennsylvania 16 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Pennsylvania 16
Cook PVI
R+12.7
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Kelly | $1,183,696 | $535,242 | $1,337,580 | October 16, 2024 | |
Preston Nouri | $120,360 | $585,562 | $587,569 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,183,696
Raised
$535,242
Spent
$1,337,580
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$120,360
Raised
$585,562
Spent
$587,569
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Pennsylvania 16. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Pennsylvania House 16 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Mike Kelly | 59.36% | 190,546 |
Dan Pastore | 40.64% | 130,443 |
2022 Pennsylvania House 16
Mike Kelly
Vote %
59.36%
Total Votes
190,546
2022 Pennsylvania House 16
Dan Pastore
Vote %
40.64%
Total Votes
130,443
+ More Elections
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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
