| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Madeleine Dean INCUMBENT | 98% | |
David Winkler | 2% |
Chance of winning Pennsylvania 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Pennsylvania 4
Cook PVI
D+7.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Madeleine Dean | $916,003 | $497,183 | $804,855 | April 3, 2024 | |
David Winkler | $15,160 | $3,822 | $5,993 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$916,003
Raised
$497,183
Spent
$804,855
Report
Date
April 3, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$15,160
Raised
$3,822
Spent
$5,993
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Pennsylvania 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Pennsylvania House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Madeleine Dean | 61.29% | 224,799 |
Christian Nascimento | 38.71% | 141,986 |
2022 Pennsylvania House 04
Madeleine Dean
Vote %
61.29%
Total Votes
224,799
2022 Pennsylvania House 04
Christian Nascimento
Vote %
38.71%
Total Votes
141,986
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
