Pennsylvania 4 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Madeleine Dean has a >99% chance of winning Pennsylvania 4.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Madeleine Dean INCUMBENT		>99%
David Winkler		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Pennsylvania 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Pennsylvania 4

Cook PVI

D+7.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Madeleine Dean	$1,048,054	$587,663	$927,372	JULY QUARTERLY	June 30, 2024
David Winkler	$6,180	$9,492	$11,483	JULY QUARTERLY	June 30, 2024

Candidate

Madeleine Dean

Cash on hand

$1,048,054

Raised

$587,663

Spent

$927,372

Report

JULY QUARTERLY

Date

June 30, 2024

Candidate

David Winkler

Cash on hand

$6,180

Raised

$9,492

Spent

$11,483

Report

JULY QUARTERLY

Date

June 30, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Pennsylvania 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.