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Pennsylvania 8 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Matthew Cartwright has a 66% chance of winning Pennsylvania 8.

CandidatePartyWin %

Matthew Cartwright

INCUMBENT

66%

Rob Bresnahan Jr.

34%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Pennsylvania 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Pennsylvania 8

Cook PVI

R+4.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Matthew Cartwright

Cash on hand

$1,078,612

Raised

$5,533,140

Spent

$7,098,152

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Rob Bresnahan Jr.

Cash on hand

$249,018

Raised

$1,562,316

Spent

$3,875,345

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Pennsylvania 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Pennsylvania House 08Vote %Total Votes

Matt Cartwright

51.22%

146,956

Jim Bognet

48.78%

139,930

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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