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South Dakota At Large House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Dusty Johnson has a >99% chance of winning South Dakota At Large.

CandidatePartyWin %

Dusty Johnson

INCUMBENT

>99%

Zach Kovach

<1%

Chance of winning South Dakota At Large over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About South Dakota At Large

Cook PVI

R+16.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Dusty Johnson

Cash on hand

$4,514,686

Raised

$1,703,399

Spent

$776,781

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Zach Kovach

Cash on hand

-$1,303

Raised

$2,260

Spent

$5,521

Report

Date

December 31, 2023

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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