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South Dakota At Large House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Dusty Johnson has a >99% chance of winning South Dakota At Large.

CandidatePartyWin %

Dusty Johnson

INCUMBENT

>99%

Sheryl Johnson

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning South Dakota At Large over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About South Dakota At Large

Cook PVI

R+16.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Dusty Johnson

Cash on hand

$5,050,012

Raised

$2,204,234

Spent

$1,310,928

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Sheryl Johnson

Cash on hand

$8,252

Raised

$172,380

Spent

$186,729

Date

October 16, 2024

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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