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Tennessee 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Andy Ogles has a 98% chance of winning Tennessee 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Andy Ogles

INCUMBENT

98%

Maryam Albolfazi

2%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Tennessee 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Tennessee 5

Cook PVI

R+8.6

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Maryam Albolfazi

Cash on hand

$109,770

Raised

$399,195

Spent

$293,530

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Andy Ogles

Cash on hand

$97,174

Raised

$673,562

Spent

$991,919

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Tennessee 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Tennessee House 05Vote %Total Votes

Andy Ogles

55.84%

123,558

Heidi Campbell

42.32%

93,648

Derrick Brantley

0.94%

2,090

Daniel Cooper

0.51%

1,132

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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