| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Monica De La Cruz INCUMBENT | 92% | |
Michelle Vallejo | 8% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Texas 15 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Texas 15
Cook PVI
R+1.4
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monica De La Cruz | $1,151,096 | $4,917,846 | $6,090,806 | October 16, 2024 | |
Michelle Vallejo | $78,158 | $1,653,029 | $2,034,315 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,151,096
Raised
$4,917,846
Spent
$6,090,806
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$78,158
Raised
$1,653,029
Spent
$2,034,315
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 15. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Texas House 15 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Monica De La Cruz | 53.31% | 80,978 |
Michelle Vallejo | 44.83% | 68,097 |
Ross Lynn Leone Jr. | 1.85% | 2,814 |
2022 Texas House 15
Monica De La Cruz
Vote %
53.31%
Total Votes
80,978
2022 Texas House 15
Michelle Vallejo
Vote %
44.83%
Total Votes
68,097
2022 Texas House 15
Ross Lynn Leone Jr.
Vote %
1.85%
Total Votes
2,814
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
