Texas 16 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Veronica Escobar has a >99% chance of winning Texas 16.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Veronica Escobar INCUMBENT		>99%
Irene Armendariz-Jackson		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Texas 16 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 16

Cook PVI

D+17.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Veronica Escobar	$221,689	$674,372	$1,332,214	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Irene Armendariz-Jackson	$4,448	$51,254	$49,617	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Veronica Escobar

Cash on hand

$221,689

Raised

$674,372

Spent

$1,332,214

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Irene Armendariz-Jackson

Cash on hand

$4,448

Raised

$51,254

Spent

$49,617

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 16. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.