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Texas 18 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Sheila Jackson Lee has a >99% chance of winning Texas 18.

CandidatePartyWin %

Sheila Jackson Lee

INCUMBENT

>99%

Lanas Centonze

<1%

Chance of winning Texas 18 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 18

Cook PVI

D+23.2

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Sheila Jackson Lee

Cash on hand

$66,446

Raised

$341,127

Spent

$834,744

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Lanas Centonze

Cash on hand

$589

Raised

$1,861

Spent

$32,429

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 18. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 18Vote %Total Votes

Sheila Jackson Lee

70.72%

110,511

Carmen Maria Montiel

26.20%

40,941

Vince Duncan

1.77%

2,766

Phil Kurtz

1.31%

2,050

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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