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Texas 22 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Troy Nehls has a 99% chance of winning Texas 22.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Troy Nehls INCUMBENT		99%
Marquette Greene-Scott		1%

Chance of winning Texas 22 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 22

Cook PVI

R+11.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Troy Nehls	$593,232	$286,081	$397,832	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Marquette Greene-Scott	$3,310	$14,639	$11,254	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Troy Nehls

Cash on hand

$593,232

Raised

$286,081

Spent

$397,832

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Marquette Greene-Scott

Cash on hand

$3,310

Raised

$14,639

Spent

$11,254

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 22. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.