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Texas 23 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Tony Gonzales has a 97% chance of winning Texas 23.

CandidatePartyWin %

Tony Gonzales

INCUMBENT

97%

Santos Limon

3%

Chance of winning Texas 23 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 23

Cook PVI

R+5.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Tony Gonzales

Cash on hand

$923,350

Raised

$1,742,427

Spent

$3,921,392

Date

May 8, 2024

Candidate

Santos Limon

Cash on hand

$2,062

Raised

$271

Spent

$85,877

Report

Date

February 14, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 23. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 23Vote %Total Votes

Tony Gonzales

55.87%

116,649

John Lira

38.77%

80,947

Frank Lopez Jr.

5.36%

11,180

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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