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Texas 31 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that John Carter has a >99% chance of winning Texas 31.

CandidatePartyWin %

John Carter

INCUMBENT

>99%

Stuart Whitlow

<1%

Chance of winning Texas 31 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 31

Cook PVI

R+13.7

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

John Carter

Cash on hand

$140,037

Raised

$493,393

Spent

$1,154,319

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Stuart Whitlow

Cash on hand

$19,229

Raised

$30,337

Spent

$111,108

Date

May 8, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 31. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 31Vote %Total Votes

John Carter

100.00%

183,185

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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