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Texas 34 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Vicente Gonzalez has a 90% chance of winning Texas 34.

CandidatePartyWin %

Vicente Gonzalez

INCUMBENT

90%

Mayra Flores

10%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Texas 34 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 34

Cook PVI

D+8.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Vicente Gonzalez

Cash on hand

$1,199,610

Raised

$1,427,992

Spent

$1,958,125

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Mayra Flores

Cash on hand

$566,716

Raised

$5,192,197

Spent

$5,765,906

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 34. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 34Vote %Total Votes

Vicente Gonzalez

52.73%

70,896

Mayra Flores

44.23%

59,464

Chris Royal

3.03%

4,079

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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