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Texas 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Lance Gooden has a >99% chance of winning Texas 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Lance Gooden

INCUMBENT

>99%

Ruth Torres

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Texas 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 5

Cook PVI

R+14.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Lance Gooden

Cash on hand

$680,399

Raised

$363,535

Spent

$798,758

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Ruth Torres

Cash on hand

$6,409

Raised

$22,149

Spent

$31,051

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 05Vote %Total Votes

Lance Gooden

63.97%

135,595

Tartisha Hill

33.93%

71,930

Kevin A. Hale

2.03%

4,293

Ruth Torres

0.07%

147

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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