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Utah 4 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Burgess Owens has a >99% chance of winning Utah 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Burgess Owens

INCUMBENT

>99%

Katrina Fallick-Wang

<1%

Chance of winning Utah 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Utah 4

Cook PVI

R+15.9

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Burgess Owens

Cash on hand

$187,928

Raised

$537,493

Spent

$767,522

Date

April 7, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Utah 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Utah House 04Vote %Total Votes

Burgess Owens

61.05%

155,110

Darlene McDonald

32.35%

82,181

January Walker

6.59%

16,740

Jonathan Larele Peterson

0.01%

28

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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