Virginia 3 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Robert Scott has a >99% chance of winning Virginia 3.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Robert Scott INCUMBENT		>99%
John Sitka III		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Virginia 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Virginia 3

Cook PVI

D+17.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Robert Scott	$227,848	$356,701	$751,944	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
John Sitka III	$4,135	$2,705	$1,431	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Robert Scott

Cash on hand

$227,848

Raised

$356,701

Spent

$751,944

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

John Sitka III

Cash on hand

$4,135

Raised

$2,705

Spent

$1,431

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.