Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

Washington 8 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Kim Schrier has a 82% chance of winning Washington 8.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kim Schrier

INCUMBENT

82%

Goers Carmen

18%

Chance of winning Washington 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Washington 8

Cook PVI

D+1.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kim Schrier

Cash on hand

$2,801,446

Raised

$2,642,786

Spent

$1,055,764

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Goers Carmen

Cash on hand

$26,439

Raised

$51,606

Spent

$129,386

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Washington House 08Vote %Total Votes

Kim Schrier

53.44%

179,003

Matt Larkin

46.56%

155,976

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories