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Washington 9 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Adam Smith / Melissa Chaudhry has a >99% chance of winning Washington 9.

CandidatePartyWin %

Adam Smith / Melissa Chaudhry

>99%

Republican

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Washington 9 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Washington 9

Cook PVI

D+21.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Adam Smith

Cash on hand

$624,904

Raised

$917,291

Spent

$1,559,077

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Melissa Chaudhry

Cash on hand

$113,260

Raised

$204,131

Spent

$91,836

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Washington House 09Vote %Total Votes

Adam Smith

71.75%

171,746

Doug Basler

28.25%

67,631

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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