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Wisconsin 1 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Bryan Steil has a 90% chance of winning Wisconsin 1.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Bryan Steil INCUMBENT		90%
Lorenzo Santos		10%

Chance of winning Wisconsin 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Wisconsin 1

Cook PVI

R+3.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Bryan Steil	$4,032,505	$1,333,980	$899,247	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Lorenzo Santos	$5,199	$21,829	$16,879	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Bryan Steil

Cash on hand

$4,032,505

Raised

$1,333,980

Spent

$899,247

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Lorenzo Santos

Cash on hand

$5,199

Raised

$21,829

Spent

$16,879

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wisconsin 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.