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Wisconsin 3 House Forecast lean gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Derrick Van Orden has a 69% chance of winning Wisconsin 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Derrick Van Orden

INCUMBENT

69%

Rebecca Cooke

31%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Wisconsin 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Wisconsin 3

Cook PVI

R+4.4

Last Winner

Republican

5 polls

Oct 4 – 8

400 LV

Normington Petts/DCC...
49.0%

Cooke

48.0%

Van Orden

+1 Cooke

Sep 22 – 24

400 LV

Public Opinion Strat...
49.0%

Van Orden

44.0%

Cooke

+5 Van_orden

Sep 9 – 11

400 LV

GBAO/House Majority ...
49.0%

Cooke

47.0%

Van Orden

+2 Cooke

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Derrick Van Orden

Cash on hand

$1,053,038

Raised

$4,227,136

Spent

$5,751,974

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Rebecca Cooke

Cash on hand

$361,152

Raised

$4,935,255

Spent

$4,939,305

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wisconsin 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Wisconsin House 03Vote %Total Votes

Derrick Van Orden

51.85%

164,743

Brad Pfaff

48.15%

152,977

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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