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Wisconsin 4 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Gwens Moore has a >99% chance of winning Wisconsin 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Gwens Moore

INCUMBENT

>99%

Tim Rogers

<1%

Chance of winning Wisconsin 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Wisconsin 4

Cook PVI

D+24.8

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Gwens Moore

Cash on hand

$56,893

Raised

$247,219

Spent

$775,106

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wisconsin 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Wisconsin House 04Vote %Total Votes

Gwen Moore

75.34%

191,955

Tim Rogers

22.63%

57,660

Robert Raymond

2.03%

5,164

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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