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Colorado Presidential Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Kamala Harris has a 93% chance of winning Colorado.

Joe Biden won Colorado in 2020 with over 55% of the vote, achieving a victory margin of 13.5%—an 8.6 percentage point increase from Hillary Clinton's win in 2016. This marked the second-strongest pro-Democrat shift of any state between those elections and was the first time since 1984 that Colorado voted for a presidential candidate of either major party by double digits. Given its competitive history, Colorado is likely to be targeted by both parties in 2024, although it is now widely considered a strongly Democratic-leaning state.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kamala Harris

93%

Donald Trump

7%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Colorado over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Colorado

Cook PVI

D+4.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Electoral Votes

10

5 polls

Oct 29 – 31

600 LV

Keating Research
53.0%

Harris

41.0%

Trump

+12 Harris

Oct 19 – 31

573 LV

University of Colora...
52.0%

Harris

44.0%

Trump

+8 Harris

Oct 2 – 31

400 LV

ActiVote
56.6%

Harris

43.4%

Trump

+13 Harris

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kamala Harris

Cash on hand

$118,825,510

Raised

$504,663,253

Spent

$880,198,347

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$36,214,682

Raised

$54,519,239

Spent

$354,932,583

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Colorado. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Colorado President Vote %Total Votes

Joe Biden

55.40%

1,804,352

Donald Trump

41.90%

1,364,607

Jo Jorgensen

1.61%

52,460

Howie Hawkins

0.28%

8,986

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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