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Delaware Presidential Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Joe Biden has a 96% chance of winning Delaware.

The home state of President Joe Biden, who represented the state in the U.S. Senate for 36 years from 1973 to 2009, Delaware has voted Democrat in eight consecutive presidential elections since 1988. In 2020, Biden defeated Trump in the state by 19 points, a significant improvement over Hillary Clinton's 11% margin over Trump in 2016, and even a slight improvement over Barack Obama's margin in 2012, when Biden was his running mate.

CandidatePartyWin %

Joe Biden

INCUMBENT

96%

Donald Trump

4%

Chance of winning Delaware over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Delaware

Cook PVI

D+7.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Electoral Votes

3

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$116,565,075

Raised

$2,323,342

Spent

$82,177,202

Date

May 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe Biden

Cash on hand

$91,566,116

Raised

$89,239,587

Spent

$130,550,039

Date

May 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Delaware. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Delaware President Vote %Total Votes

Joe Biden

58.75%

296,268

Donald Trump

39.78%

200,603

Jo Jorgensen

0.99%

5,000

Howie Hawkins

0.42%

2,139

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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