Sponsored content

Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

Idaho Presidential Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a >99% chance of winning Idaho.

Idaho is one of the nation's most staunchly Republican states, having last backed a Democratic presidential candidate in 1964 when Lyndon B. Johnson narrowly won the state during his national landslide. In 2020, Trump easily secured Idaho, capturing 64% of the vote compared to Biden’s 33%.

CandidatePartyWin %

Donald Trump

>99%

Kamala Harris

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Idaho over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Idaho

Cook PVI

R+18.0

Last Winner

Republican

Electoral Votes

4

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kamala Harris

Cash on hand

$118,825,510

Raised

$504,663,253

Spent

$880,198,347

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$36,214,682

Raised

$54,519,239

Spent

$354,932,583

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Idaho. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Idaho President Vote %Total Votes

Donald Trump

63.84%

554,119

Joe Biden

33.07%

287,021

Jo Jorgensen

1.89%

16,404

Kanye West

0.42%

3,632

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories