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Idaho Presidential Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a >99% chance of winning Idaho.

Idaho is one of the nation's most staunchly Republican states, having last backed a Democratic presidential candidate in 1964 when Lyndon B. Johnson narrowly won the state during his national landslide. In 2020, Trump easily secured Idaho, capturing 64% of the vote compared to Biden’s 33%.

CandidatePartyWin %

Donald Trump

>99%

Joe Biden

INCUMBENT

<1%

Chance of winning Idaho over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Idaho

Cook PVI

R+18.0

Last Winner

Republican

Electoral Votes

4

3 polls

Apr 15 – 22

309 LV

John Zogby Strategie...
59.8%

Trump

30.5%

Biden

+29 Trump

Apr 14 – 17

168 LV

Civiqs/Northwest Pro...
54.0%

Biden

34.0%

Trump

+20 Biden

Oct 2 – 5

490 RV

Emerson College Poll...
54.5%

Trump

25.8%

Biden

+29 Trump

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$116,565,075

Raised

$2,323,342

Spent

$82,177,202

Date

May 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe Biden

Cash on hand

$91,566,116

Raised

$89,239,587

Spent

$130,550,039

Date

May 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Idaho. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Idaho President Vote %Total Votes

Donald Trump

63.84%

554,119

Joe Biden

33.07%

287,021

Jo Jorgensen

1.89%

16,404

Kanye West

0.42%

3,632

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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