| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 93% | |
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 7% |
Chance of winning Iowa over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Iowa
Cook PVI
R+6.0
Last Winner
Republican
Electoral Votes
6
10 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 – 22 | 405 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 46.5%Trump 44.5%Biden | +2 Trump |
| Feb 13 – 14 | 600 LV | Cygnal/ITR Foundatio... | 49.0%Trump 40.0%Biden | +9 Trump |
| Jan 3 – 5 | 500 LV | Zogby Strategies | 51.0%Trump 39.0%Biden | +12 Trump |
| Dec 16 – 18 | 1,094 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 48.2%Trump 39.6%Biden | +9 Trump |
| Oct 2 – 5 | 501 Adults | Emerson College Poll... | 44.0%Trump 34.0%Biden | +10 Trump |
| Sep 29 – 30 | 506 LV | Cygnal/Iowans for Ta... | 48.6%Trump 33.0%Biden | +16 Trump |
| Sep 8 – 10 | 896 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 50.0%Trump 39.0%Biden | +11 Trump |
| Aug 18 – 22 | 1,952 RV | HarrisX | 47.0%Trump 41.0%Biden | +6 Trump |
| May 20 – 23 | 1,064 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 48.8%Trump 38.4%Biden | +10 Trump |
| Apr 4 – 5 | 600 LV | Cygnal | 46.4%Trump 40.4%Biden | +6 Trump |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Iowa President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 53.23% | 897,672 |
Joe Biden | 45.01% | 759,061 |
Jo Jorgensen | 1.16% | 19,637 |
Kanye West | 0.19% | 3,210 |
2020 Iowa President
Donald Trump
Vote %
53.23%
Total Votes
897,672
2020 Iowa President
Joe Biden
Vote %
45.01%
Total Votes
759,061
2020 Iowa President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
1.16%
Total Votes
19,637
2020 Iowa President
Kanye West
Vote %
0.19%
Total Votes
3,210
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
