| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 51% | |
Donald Trump | 49% |
Chance of winning Michigan over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Michigan
Cook PVI
R+1.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Electoral Votes
15
53 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 50.7%Trump 49.3%Biden | +1 Trump |
| Jun 4 | 697 LV | Mitchell Research & ... | 48.2%Trump 47.6%Biden | +1 Trump |
| May 31 – Jun 1 | 723 RV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 45.0%Biden 45.0%Trump | TIE |
| May 21 – 22 | 697 LV | Mitchell Research & ... | 49.0%Trump 47.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| May 10 – 17 | 482 RV | Prime Group/Citizens... | 52.0%Biden 48.0%Trump | +4 Biden |
| May 7 – 14 | 606 LV | BSG/GS Strategy Grou... | 47.0%Trump 45.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| May 9 – 13 | 704 RV | Morning Consult/Bloo... | 46.0%Biden 45.0%Trump | +1 Biden |
| Apr 29 – May 10 | 616 RV | Siena College Poll/N... | 49.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +7 Trump |
| Apr 26 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 52.1%Trump 47.9%Biden | +4 Trump |
| Apr 20 – 26 | 1,287 LV | YouGov/CBS News | 51.0%Biden 49.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Michigan President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 50.62% | 2,804,040 |
Donald Trump | 47.84% | 2,649,852 |
Jo Jorgensen | 1.09% | 60,381 |
Howie Hawkins | 0.25% | 13,718 |
2020 Michigan President
Joe Biden
Vote %
50.62%
Total Votes
2,804,040
2020 Michigan President
Donald Trump
Vote %
47.84%
Total Votes
2,649,852
2020 Michigan President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
1.09%
Total Votes
60,381
2020 Michigan President
Howie Hawkins
Vote %
0.25%
Total Votes
13,718
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
