| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 65% | |
Donald Trump | 35% |
Chance of winning Minnesota over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Minnesota
Cook PVI
D+1.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Electoral Votes
10
14 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 51.0%Biden 49.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
| Jun 13 – 17 | 626 LV | SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | 47.0%Biden 41.0%Trump | +6 Biden |
| Jun 10 – 12 | 600 LV | McLaughlin & Associa... | 47.0%Trump 45.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| May 9 – 12 | 625 LV | SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | 44.0%Biden 42.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
| Apr 30 – May 2 | 600 LV | McLaughlin & Associa... | 49.0%Trump 46.0%Biden | +3 Trump |
| Apr 15 – 22 | 417 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 46.4%Biden 43.8%Trump | +3 Biden |
| Apr 4 – 8 | 608 LV | SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | 44.0%Biden 42.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
| Mar 1 – 4 | 77 LV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 46.3%Biden 38.7%Trump | +8 Biden |
| Feb 24 – 29 | 1,603 LV | SurveyUSA | 42.0%Biden 38.0%Trump | +4 Biden |
| Jan 25 – 30 | 1,594 RV | SurveyUSA | 42.0%Biden 39.0%Trump | +3 Biden |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Minnesota. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Minnesota President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 52.54% | 1,717,077 |
Donald Trump | 45.41% | 1,484,065 |
Jo Jorgensen | 1.07% | 34,976 |
Howie Hawkins | 0.31% | 10,033 |
2020 Minnesota President
Joe Biden
Vote %
52.54%
Total Votes
1,717,077
2020 Minnesota President
Donald Trump
Vote %
45.41%
Total Votes
1,484,065
2020 Minnesota President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
1.07%
Total Votes
34,976
2020 Minnesota President
Howie Hawkins
Vote %
0.31%
Total Votes
10,033
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
