| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 99% | |
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 1% |
Chance of winning Montana over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Montana
Cook PVI
R+11.0
Last Winner
Republican
Electoral Votes
4
8 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12 – 14 | 500 LV | Public Opinion Strat... | 57.0%Trump 37.0%Biden | +20 Trump |
| Jun 4 – 6 | 500 LV | Fabrizio, Lee & Asso... | 54.0%Trump 36.0%Biden | +18 Trump |
| Apr 15 – 22 | 301 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 58.7%Trump 33.9%Biden | +25 Trump |
| Feb 27 – Mar 3 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 55.6%Trump 35.0%Biden | +21 Trump |
| Feb 13 – 16 | 549 LV | SurveyUSA | 51.0%Trump 29.0%Biden | +22 Trump |
| Oct 2 – 5 | 447 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 49.0%Trump 28.0%Biden | +21 Trump |
| Sep 17 – 20 | 1,451 V | Change Research/Futu... | 54.0%Trump 37.0%Biden | +17 Trump |
| Aug 13 – 18 | 741 LV | J.L. Partners | 51.0%Trump 39.0%Biden | +12 Trump |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Montana. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Montana President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 56.92% | 343,602 |
Joe Biden | 40.55% | 244,786 |
Jo Jorgensen | 2.53% | 15,252 |
Mark R. Charles | 0.00% | 23 |
2020 Montana President
Donald Trump
Vote %
56.92%
Total Votes
343,602
2020 Montana President
Joe Biden
Vote %
40.55%
Total Votes
244,786
2020 Montana President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
2.53%
Total Votes
15,252
2020 Montana President
Mark R. Charles
Vote %
0.00%
Total Votes
23
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
