Nebraska 1 Presidential Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a 98% chance of winning Nebraska 1.

Nebraska allocates its five electoral votes by awarding two to the statewide winner and one to the candidate who receives the most votes in each of its three congressional districts. The 1st district, encompassing most of Nebraska’s eastern quarter except for Omaha and some of its suburbs (which are part of the more competitive 2nd district), includes the state capital, Lincoln, as well as the cities of Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. It is considered solidly Republican, having backed Republicans in every election since it began awarding an electoral vote in 1992. Most recently, Trump carried this district by 15% in 2020.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Donald Trump		98%
Kamala Harris		2%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Nebraska 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nebraska 1

Cook PVI

R+11.0

Last Winner

Republican

Electoral Votes

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Kamala Harris	$118,825,510	$504,663,253	$880,198,347	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Donald Trump	$36,214,682	$54,519,239	$354,932,583	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Kamala Harris

Cash on hand

$118,825,510

Raised

$504,663,253

Spent

$880,198,347

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$36,214,682

Raised

$54,519,239

Spent

$354,932,583

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nebraska 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.