| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 66% | |
Donald Trump | 34% |
Chance of winning New Hampshire over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Hampshire
Cook PVI
D+1.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Electoral Votes
4
9 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17 – 21 | 1,022 LV | University of New Ha... | 52.0%Biden 48.0%Trump | +4 Biden |
| Apr 15 – 22 | 515 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 47.8%Biden 44.1%Trump | +4 Biden |
| Jan 16 – 18 | 1,157 RV | Marist College Poll | 52.0%Biden 45.0%Trump | +7 Biden |
| Nov 11 – 14 | 917 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 46.5%Biden 41.9%Trump | +5 Biden |
| Aug 10 – 12 | 837 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 48.2%Biden 40.9%Trump | +7 Biden |
| Jul 6 – 12 | 895 LV | American Pulse Resea... | 51.8%Biden 39.9%Trump | +12 Biden |
| Jun 22 – 24 | 1,065 RV | St. Anselm College | 49.0%Biden 40.0%Trump | +9 Biden |
| Mar 4 – 6 | 1,025 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 41.7%Biden 38.0%Trump | +4 Biden |
| Jan 26 – 27 | 1,179 LV | coefficient | 40.0%Biden 39.0%Trump | +1 Biden |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Hampshire. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 New Hampshire President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 52.78% | 424,937 |
Donald Trump | 45.42% | 365,660 |
Jo Jorgensen | 1.64% | 13,236 |
Howie Hawkins | 0.03% | 217 |
2020 New Hampshire President
Joe Biden
Vote %
52.78%
Total Votes
424,937
2020 New Hampshire President
Donald Trump
Vote %
45.42%
Total Votes
365,660
2020 New Hampshire President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
1.64%
Total Votes
13,236
2020 New Hampshire President
Howie Hawkins
Vote %
0.03%
Total Votes
217
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
