| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 70% | |
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 30% |
Chance of winning North Carolina over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About North Carolina
Cook PVI
R+3.0
Last Winner
Republican
Electoral Votes
16
40 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8 – 12 | 600 LV | SPRY Strategies | 47.8%Trump 43.7%Biden | +4 Trump |
| Jun 1 – 4 | 1,332 RV | ECU Center for Surve... | 47.8%Trump 43.3%Biden | +5 Trump |
| May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 LV | American Greatness/N... | 49.0%Trump 41.0%Biden | +8 Trump |
| May 27 – 28 | 1,053 LV | Rassmussen Reports/N... | 51.0%Trump 43.0%Biden | +8 Trump |
| May 14 – 19 | 835 LV | Change Research/Caro... | 45.0%Trump 43.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| May 10 – 17 | 472 RV | Prime Group/Citizens... | 51.0%Trump 49.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| May 7 – 14 | 601 LV | BSG/GS Strategy Grou... | 48.0%Trump 41.0%Biden | +7 Trump |
| May 9 – 13 | 704 RV | Morning Consult/Bloo... | 49.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +7 Trump |
| May 3 – 10 | 804 RV | High Point Universit... | 44.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| Apr 26 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 51.9%Trump 48.1%Biden | +4 Trump |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 North Carolina President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 50.05% | 2,758,775 |
Joe Biden | 48.70% | 2,684,292 |
Jo Jorgensen | 0.88% | 48,678 |
Howie Hawkins | 0.22% | 12,195 |
2020 North Carolina President
Donald Trump
Vote %
50.05%
Total Votes
2,758,775
2020 North Carolina President
Joe Biden
Vote %
48.70%
Total Votes
2,684,292
2020 North Carolina President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
0.88%
Total Votes
48,678
2020 North Carolina President
Howie Hawkins
Vote %
0.22%
Total Votes
12,195
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
