| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 93% | |
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 7% |
Chance of winning Ohio over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Ohio
Cook PVI
R+6.0
Last Winner
Republican
Electoral Votes
17
14 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29 – 30 | 801 LV | National Public Affa... | 54.0%Trump 46.0%Biden | +8 Trump |
| Apr 15 – 22 | 643 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 51.6%Trump 42.0%Biden | +10 Trump |
| Mar 14 | 753 V | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 50.0%Trump 39.0%Biden | +11 Trump |
| Mar 7 – 12 | 1,241 RV | SurveyUSA/Ohio North... | 50.0%Trump 38.0%Biden | +12 Trump |
| Mar 8 – 11 | 1,300 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 50.3%Trump 40.6%Biden | +10 Trump |
| Jan 24 – 29 | 1,844 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 47.0%Trump 36.0%Biden | +11 Trump |
| Jan 24 – 26 | 1,844 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 46.8%Trump 35.8%Biden | +11 Trump |
| Nov 17 – 20 | 1,352 RV | Big Data Poll/Buckey... | 43.2%Trump 29.6%Biden | +14 Trump |
| Nov 11 – 14 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 50.0%Trump 38.3%Biden | +12 Trump |
| Nov 1 – 3 | 597 LV | Data for Progress | 51.0%Trump 43.0%Biden | +8 Trump |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Ohio. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Ohio President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 53.27% | 3,154,834 |
Joe Biden | 45.24% | 2,679,165 |
Jo Jorgensen | 1.14% | 67,569 |
Howie Hawkins | 0.32% | 18,812 |
2020 Ohio President
Donald Trump
Vote %
53.27%
Total Votes
3,154,834
2020 Ohio President
Joe Biden
Vote %
45.24%
Total Votes
2,679,165
2020 Ohio President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
1.14%
Total Votes
67,569
2020 Ohio President
Howie Hawkins
Vote %
0.32%
Total Votes
18,812
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
