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Rhode Island Presidential Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Joe Biden has a 97% chance of winning Rhode Island.

Rhode Island, a deep blue New England state, has voted Democratic in nine consecutive presidential elections since 1984. Joe Biden carried the state by 21% in 2020, making it one of only three states where Biden won every county during the election.

CandidatePartyWin %

Joe Biden

INCUMBENT

97%

Donald Trump

3%

Chance of winning Rhode Island over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Rhode Island

Cook PVI

D+8.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Electoral Votes

4

2 polls

May 17 – 21

495 LV

University of New Ha...
60.0%

Biden

40.0%

Trump

+20 Biden

Apr 15 – 22

398 LV

John Zogby Strategie...
47.6%

Biden

43.0%

Trump

+5 Biden

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$116,565,075

Raised

$2,323,342

Spent

$82,177,202

Date

May 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe Biden

Cash on hand

$91,566,116

Raised

$89,239,587

Spent

$130,550,039

Date

May 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Rhode Island. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Rhode Island President Vote %Total Votes

Joe Biden

59.71%

307,486

Donald Trump

38.82%

199,922

Jo Jorgensen

0.98%

5,053

Roque De La Fuente

0.18%

923

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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