| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | >99% | |
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | <1% |
Chance of winning Tennessee over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Tennessee
Cook PVI
R+14.0
Last Winner
Republican
Electoral Votes
11
8 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 – 22 | 510 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 59.2%Trump 35.1%Biden | +24 Trump |
| Mar 16 – Apr 3 | 1,139 RV | Beacon Center/Targoz... | 60.0%Trump 31.0%Biden | +29 Trump |
| Mar 1 – 4 | 262 RV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 58.4%Trump 34.2%Biden | +24 Trump |
| Dec 15 – 29 | 1,187 LV | Beacon Poll of Tenne... | 61.0%Trump 30.0%Biden | +31 Trump |
| Oct 6 – 17 | 1,181 LV | Beacon Center/Targoz... | 53.0%Trump 23.0%Biden | +30 Trump |
| Oct 2 – 5 | 410 Adults | Emerson College Poll... | 55.3%Trump 22.0%Biden | +33 Trump |
| Jun 15 – 23 | 1,120 RV | Targoz Market Resear... | 51.0%Trump 32.0%Biden | +19 Trump |
| Apr 20 – 24 | 502 RV | SSRS | 42.0%Trump 26.0%Biden | +16 Trump |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Tennessee. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Tennessee President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 60.66% | 1,852,475 |
Joe Biden | 37.45% | 1,143,711 |
Jo Jorgensen | 0.98% | 29,877 |
Kanye West | 0.34% | 10,279 |
2020 Tennessee President
Donald Trump
Vote %
60.66%
Total Votes
1,852,475
2020 Tennessee President
Joe Biden
Vote %
37.45%
Total Votes
1,143,711
2020 Tennessee President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
0.98%
Total Votes
29,877
2020 Tennessee President
Kanye West
Vote %
0.34%
Total Votes
10,279
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
