| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 58% | |
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 42% |
Chance of winning Wisconsin over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Wisconsin
Cook PVI
R+2.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Electoral Votes
10
38 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13 – 21 | 871 RV | Marquette University... | 50.0%Biden 50.0%Trump | TIE |
| Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 51.3%Trump 48.7%Biden | +3 Trump |
| May 31 – Jun 1 | 338 RV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 40.0%Biden 38.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
| May 10 – 17 | 488 RV | Prime Group/Citizens... | 51.0%Biden 49.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
| May 8 – 14 | 693 RV | Morning Consult/Bloo... | 47.0%Trump 46.0%Biden | +1 Trump |
| May 7 – 14 | 503 LV | BSG/GS Strategy Grou... | 45.0%Biden 45.0%Trump | TIE |
| Apr 29 – May 10 | 614 RV | Siena College Poll/N... | 47.0%Biden 45.0%Trump | +2 Biden |
| May 3 – 7 | 1,457 RV | Quinnipiac Universit... | 50.0%Biden 44.0%Trump | +6 Biden |
| Apr 26 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 51.6%Trump 48.4%Biden | +3 Trump |
| Apr 20 – 26 | 1,245 LV | YouGov/CBS News | 50.0%Trump 49.0%Biden | +1 Trump |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wisconsin. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Wisconsin President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 49.55% | 1,630,866 |
Donald Trump | 48.92% | 1,610,184 |
Jo Jorgensen | 1.17% | 38,491 |
Brian T. Carroll | 0.16% | 5,259 |
2020 Wisconsin President
Joe Biden
Vote %
49.55%
Total Votes
1,630,866
2020 Wisconsin President
Donald Trump
Vote %
48.92%
Total Votes
1,610,184
2020 Wisconsin President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
1.17%
Total Votes
38,491
2020 Wisconsin President
Brian T. Carroll
Vote %
0.16%
Total Votes
5,259
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
