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Wyoming Presidential Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a >99% chance of winning Wyoming.

Wyoming has ranked as the strongest or second strongest Republican state in each of the last six presidential elections of the 21st century. Most recently, in 2020, Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, securing 69.9% of the vote—his highest vote share in the election. He won this sparsely populated state by a margin of 43.4%, slightly down from his 46.3% margin four years earlier. Despite this slight decrease, both margins were his highest in any state. Wyoming is expected to remain a safe Republican state in 2024.

CandidatePartyWin %

Donald Trump

>99%

Joe Biden

INCUMBENT

<1%

Chance of winning Wyoming over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Wyoming

Cook PVI

R+25.0

Last Winner

Republican

Electoral Votes

3

2 polls

Apr 15 – 22

249 LV

John Zogby Strategie...
66.9%

Trump

25.9%

Biden

+41 Trump

Oct 2 – 5

535 Adults

Emerson College Poll...
67.6%

Trump

14.8%

Biden

+53 Trump

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$116,565,075

Raised

$2,323,342

Spent

$82,177,202

Date

May 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe Biden

Cash on hand

$91,566,116

Raised

$89,239,587

Spent

$130,550,039

Date

May 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wyoming. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Wyoming President Vote %Total Votes

Donald Trump

70.38%

193,559

Joe Biden

26.72%

73,491

Jo Jorgensen

2.10%

5,768

Brock Pierce

0.80%

2,208

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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