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Connecticut Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Christopher Murphy has a >99% chance of winning Connecticut.

CandidatePartyWin %

Christopher Murphy

INCUMBENT

>99%

Matt Corey

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Connecticut Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Connecticut

Cook PVI

D+7.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Christopher Murphy

Cash on hand

$6,888,848

Raised

$11,635,307

Spent

$9,365,153

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Matt Corey

Cash on hand

$91,206

Raised

$181,551

Spent

$99,300

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Connecticut. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Connecticut Senate Vote %Total Votes

Richard Blumenthal

57.45%

723,864

Leora R. Levy

42.54%

535,943

John Anderson

0.01%

68

Shabadjot Bharara

0.00%

12

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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