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Hawaii Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mazie Hirono has a >99% chance of winning Hawaii.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Mazie Hirono INCUMBENT		>99%
Adriel Lam		<1%

Chance of winning Hawaii Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Hawaii

Cook PVI

D+14.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Mazie Hirono	$2,007,936	$1,227,040	$928,895	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Adriel Lam	$5,254	$5,491	$264	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Mazie Hirono

Cash on hand

$2,007,936

Raised

$1,227,040

Spent

$928,895

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Adriel Lam

Cash on hand

$5,254

Raised

$5,491

Spent

$264

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Hawaii. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.