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Massachusetts Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Elizabeth Warren has a >99% chance of winning Massachusetts.

CandidatePartyWin %

Elizabeth Warren

INCUMBENT

>99%

John Deaton

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Massachusetts Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Massachusetts

Cook PVI

D+15.0

Last Winner

Democrat

10 polls

Oct 30 – Nov 3

724 RV

University of New Ha...
60.0%

Warren

37.0%

Deaton

+23 Warren

Oct 30 – Nov 2

582 LV

MassINC Polling Grou...
55.0%

Warren

33.0%

Deaton

+22 Warren

Oct 3 – 31

400 LV

ActiVote
63.1%

Warren

36.9%

Deaton

+26 Warren

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Elizabeth Warren

Cash on hand

$5,471,594

Raised

$8,102,863

Spent

$5,264,528

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

John Deaton

Cash on hand

$784,756

Raised

$1,080,531

Spent

$1,361,132

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Massachusetts. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Massachusetts Senate Vote %Total Votes

Edward J. Markey

66.29%

2,357,809

Kevin J. O'Connor

33.11%

1,177,765

Shiva Ayyadurai

0.59%

21,134

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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