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Massachusetts Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Elizabeth Warren has a >99% chance of winning Massachusetts.

CandidatePartyWin %

Elizabeth Warren

INCUMBENT

>99%

Robert Antonellis

<1%

Chance of winning Massachusetts Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Massachusetts

Cook PVI

D+15.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Elizabeth Warren

Cash on hand

$4,400,477

Raised

$4,936,192

Spent

$2,992,094

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Robert Antonellis

Cash on hand

$5,314

Raised

$5,411

Spent

$30,912

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Massachusetts. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Massachusetts Senate Vote %Total Votes

Edward J. Markey

66.29%

2,357,809

Kevin J. O'Connor

33.11%

1,177,765

Shiva Ayyadurai

0.59%

21,134

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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