| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Andy Kim | >99% | |
Curtis Bashaw | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Jersey Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Jersey
Cook PVI
D+6.0
Last Winner
Democrat
9 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 – 4 | 433 LV | Research Co. | 58.0%Kim 40.0%Bashaw | +18 Kim |
| Oct 21 – 28 | 806 RV | Fairleigh Dickinson | 57.0%Kim 39.0%Bashaw | +18 Kim |
| Oct 24 – 25 | 600 LV | Cygnal | 54.5%Kim 38.1%Bashaw | +16 Kim |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andy Kim | $2,444,707 | $10,695,137 | $9,502,395 | October 16, 2024 | |
Curtis Bashaw | $1,006,426 | $1,825,627 | $2,981,591 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$2,444,707
Raised
$10,695,137
Spent
$9,502,395
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,006,426
Raised
$1,825,627
Spent
$2,981,591
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 New Jersey Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Cory A. Booker | 57.23% | 2,541,178 |
Rikin Mehta | 40.92% | 1,817,052 |
Madelyn R. Hoffman | 0.86% | 38,288 |
Veronica Fernandez | 0.73% | 32,290 |
2020 New Jersey Senate
Cory A. Booker
Vote %
57.23%
Total Votes
2,541,178
2020 New Jersey Senate
Rikin Mehta
Vote %
40.92%
Total Votes
1,817,052
2020 New Jersey Senate
Madelyn R. Hoffman
Vote %
0.86%
Total Votes
38,288
2020 New Jersey Senate
Veronica Fernandez
Vote %
0.73%
Total Votes
32,290
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
