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New Jersey Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Andy Kim has a 96% chance of winning New Jersey.

CandidatePartyWin %

Andy Kim

96%

Curtis Bashaw

4%

Chance of winning New Jersey Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey

Cook PVI

D+6.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Andy Kim

Cash on hand

$4,089,654

Raised

$7,578,464

Spent

$3,941,233

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Curtis Bashaw

Cash on hand

$524,683

Raised

$604,324

Spent

$893,231

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 New Jersey Senate Vote %Total Votes

Cory A. Booker

57.23%

2,541,178

Rikin Mehta

40.92%

1,817,052

Madelyn R. Hoffman

0.86%

38,288

Veronica Fernandez

0.73%

32,290

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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