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New York Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Kirsten Gillibrand has a >99% chance of winning New York.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kirsten Gillibrand

INCUMBENT

>99%

Michael Sapraicone

<1%

Chance of winning New York Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York

Cook PVI

D+10.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kirsten Gillibrand

Cash on hand

$10,391,040

Raised

$3,524,811

Spent

$1,919,420

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Michael Sapraicone

Cash on hand

$244,277

Raised

$226,484

Spent

$494,681

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York Senate Vote %Total Votes

Charles E. Schumer

56.78%

3,320,561

Joe Pinion

42.77%

2,501,151

Diane Sare

0.46%

26,844

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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