| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Kirsten Gillibrand INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Michael Sapraicone | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New York Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New York
Cook PVI
D+10.0
Last Winner
Democrat
10 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 – 4 | 432 LV | Research Co. | 64.0%Gillibrand 34.0%Sapraicone | +30 Gillibrand |
| Oct 5 – 29 | 400 LV | ActiVote | 59.6%Gillibrand 40.4%Sapraicone | +19 Gillibrand |
| Oct 27 – 28 | 600 LV | Cygnal | 58.1%Gillibrand 38.7%Sapraicone | +19 Gillibrand |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kirsten Gillibrand | $1,790,258 | $4,290,213 | $12,748,424 | October 16, 2024 | |
Michael Sapraicone | $186,004 | $348,420 | $929,391 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,790,258
Raised
$4,290,213
Spent
$12,748,424
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$186,004
Raised
$348,420
Spent
$929,391
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New York Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Charles E. Schumer | 56.78% | 3,320,561 |
Joe Pinion | 42.77% | 2,501,151 |
Diane Sare | 0.46% | 26,844 |
2022 New York Senate
Charles E. Schumer
Vote %
56.78%
Total Votes
3,320,561
2022 New York Senate
Joe Pinion
Vote %
42.77%
Total Votes
2,501,151
2022 New York Senate
Diane Sare
Vote %
0.46%
Total Votes
26,844
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
