| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Marsha Blackburn INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Gloria Johnson | <1% |
Chance of winning Tennessee Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Tennessee
Cook PVI
R+14.0
Last Winner
Republican
5 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 – May 10 | 1,003 RV | SSRS/Vanderbilt Univ... | 51.0%Blackburn 40.0%Johnson | +11 Blackburn |
| Mar 16 – Apr 3 | 955 LV | Beacon Center/Targoz... | 46.0%Blackburn 29.0%Johnson | +17 Blackburn |
| Nov 15 – Dec 3 | 503 RV | Vanderbilt Universit... | 53.0%Blackburn 36.0%Johnson | +17 Blackburn |
| Oct 6 – 17 | 1,181 LV | Beacon Center/Targoz... | 49.0%Blackburn 29.0%Johnson | +20 Blackburn |
| Oct 2 – 5 | 410 Adults | Emerson College Poll... | 50.0%Blackburn 26.0%Johnson | +24 Blackburn |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marsha Blackburn | $8,505,460 | $2,140,963 | $2,412,468 | March 31, 2024 | |
Gloria Johnson | $2,048,985 | $3,606,497 | $1,605,525 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$8,505,460
Raised
$2,140,963
Spent
$2,412,468
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$2,048,985
Raised
$3,606,497
Spent
$1,605,525
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Tennessee. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Tennessee Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Bill Hagerty | 62.20% | 1,840,926 |
Marquita Bradshaw | 35.16% | 1,040,691 |
Elizabeth McLeod | 0.56% | 16,652 |
Yomi Faparusi | 0.36% | 10,727 |
2020 Tennessee Senate
Bill Hagerty
Vote %
62.20%
Total Votes
1,840,926
2020 Tennessee Senate
Marquita Bradshaw
Vote %
35.16%
Total Votes
1,040,691
2020 Tennessee Senate
Elizabeth McLeod
Vote %
0.56%
Total Votes
16,652
2020 Tennessee Senate
Yomi Faparusi
Vote %
0.36%
Total Votes
10,727
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
