| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Marsha Blackburn INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Gloria Johnson | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Tennessee Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Tennessee
Cook PVI
R+14.0
Last Winner
Republican
10 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 – 29 | 400 LV | ActiVote | 60.8%Blackburn 39.2%Johnson | +22 Blackburn |
| Sep 15 – Oct 19 | 400 LV | ActiVote | 61.3%Blackburn 38.7%Johnson | +23 Blackburn |
| Sep 30 – Oct 9 | 1,159 RV | Targoz Market Resear... | 54.0%Blackburn 31.0%Johnson | +23 Blackburn |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marsha Blackburn | $5,036,254 | $3,659,910 | $10,460,797 | October 16, 2024 | |
Gloria Johnson | $1,528,400 | $7,142,090 | $5,728,882 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$5,036,254
Raised
$3,659,910
Spent
$10,460,797
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,528,400
Raised
$7,142,090
Spent
$5,728,882
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Tennessee. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Tennessee Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Bill Hagerty | 62.20% | 1,840,926 |
Marquita Bradshaw | 35.16% | 1,040,691 |
Elizabeth McLeod | 0.56% | 16,652 |
Yomi Faparusi | 0.36% | 10,727 |
2020 Tennessee Senate
Bill Hagerty
Vote %
62.20%
Total Votes
1,840,926
2020 Tennessee Senate
Marquita Bradshaw
Vote %
35.16%
Total Votes
1,040,691
2020 Tennessee Senate
Elizabeth McLeod
Vote %
0.56%
Total Votes
16,652
2020 Tennessee Senate
Yomi Faparusi
Vote %
0.36%
Total Votes
10,727
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
